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People of Linkedin, recently one of you posted an excellent infographic that talked of different AI capabilities that people thought would happen 'now' and then placed them on a timeline over the next 20 years showing when people who understood believed the capability would actually land.
I have described this image countless times in discussions over the last few months but I cannot find it. Where is it? Do you have it?
I recognise that I have now wasted many peoples time to find a single image that I should be able to find myself (but can't). To placate you, here are a couple of the more interesting articles I found whilst trying:
https://lnkd.in/ddZ3-4Et
https://lnkd.in/dGcw5Thq
Software Engineering | Machine Learning | Ruby on Rails | Node.js | LLMs | AI | SRE | Platform Engineering
1 year ago
I did a search and I couldn't find it either! Here's my prediction though:
From what we've seen so far it seems as if the only thing preventing a new AI capability to land on our desk are a few core variables, the ones I find to be the most important are computing power & program improvement
Computing power: It feels as if we have maxed out, or close to, on stuff like graphics cards. Take for example the jump in graphics on videogames from the PS4 to the PS5. It's almost nothing. Compare the PS3 with the PS4 and you have a huge leap
Program improvement: we are pooling the biggest brains in society towards AI/ML, improvements to the underlying algorithms powering this ship are being carefully produced as we speak! This one can produce quantum leaps in progress
So what's a quantum leap in the context of new AI capabilities?
Well I see it this way, we think of progress as someone going up a flight of stairs where the next step is a little bit higher and almost the same size as the previous step
It doesn't apply to new AI capabilities.
It's more like someone with a portal device that can just go on step 1 in the ladder and tele transport themselves to step 60. Here's an example